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Variations in the Observed Rate of Precession
Precession refers to the slowly changing position
of the equinox resulting from variations in the orientation of Earth's
axis in space. Precession, and variations in the rate of precession,
does not affect the absolute rotation period of the Earth on its
axis and the mean solar day.
According to the findings of the Binary Research
Institute, compelling scientific data exists that shows an increase
in the calculated precession rates over the last 100 years.
http://www.binaryresearchinstitute.org/calculations/precession.shtml
Astronomers argue that such data merely reflects
an improvement in the measurement due to technological advances.
But Newcomb's ingenious observations, which resulted in the precise
determination of the tropical year, should not be underestimated.
It was a major accomplishment in the field of astronomy, equaled
perhaps only by the observations of William Markowitz about four
decades later. Measuring the transits and the occultation period
of the stars by the moon, Markowitz was able to determine the tropical
year precisely to one hundred thousands of a second, using quartz
clocks.
Nowadays, cesium atomic clocks are the most accurate
clocks available for time measurements. With a deviation of only
one second in about two million years, atomic clocks provide us
with a highly uniform measure of time due to the extremely stable
oscillation of the Cesium atoms. Although the atomic second can
be considered as absolutely constant, it is about 3 × 10E-8 s shorter
in duration than the SI second. Therefore, every now and then so-called
leap seconds have to be inserted. While the uniform time scale of
the atomic clock allows us to precisely measure sidereal time, atomic
time needs to be synchronized to the fundamental time interval of
Earth's tropical-sidereal year of 31,556,925.97474 seconds.
So by using various non-specified sidereal frames
of reference, which are considered fixed in relation to the moving
and imaginary equinoctial point in the sky, astronomers were able
to repeatedly derive the exact length of the tropical year despite
apparent inaccuracies in the measurements of precession. In other
words, the length of the tropical or equinoctial year remains unchanged,
whereas the length of the sidereal year depends (according to the
International Astronomical Union) upon the adopted value of the
precession.
Still - astronomers claim that the equinoctial
or tropical year is not the 360-degree orbit period of our Earth
around the Sun, but about 50.26" less or roughly 20 minutes shorter
than a sidereal year. Fortunately, the astronomical data on the
solar
eclipse cycle shows with mathematical exactitude that the equinoctial
year is, in fact, Earth's actual 360-degree orbit period around
the sun.
Dr. Myles Standish, an expert at JPL, had this
to say about precession and sidereal time measurement:
"[...] Precession defined, formulated,
and calculated using the basic laws of physics, found to be consistent
with observations. Precession has now been measured accurate to
the 99.999% level. [...] ... the numerical value [for a sidereal
year of 365.25636042094 mean solar days] comes from Newcomb's "Theory
of the Sun", used for his (1898) "Tables of the Motion of the Earth
on its Axis and Around the Sun". [...] The difference in the two
rates is 5024"93/cty; obviously, precession, even though the value
of 5025.64 has long been known as "Newcomb's precession". [...]
The modern value is 5026"47/tropical century (5029"0966 per Julian
century), accurate to 1 or 2 units in the last figure given. Newcomb's
Theory is cast in the precessing, of-date frame. [...] ... it was
the frame most naturally observed (mainly, transits). [...] In order
to find inertial space, one must remove the precession, a quantity
that could not be determined as accurately or as easily back then
- it involved detailed analysis of star motions and the removal
of galactic rotation, star-streaming, etc. Nowadays, we have accurate
VLBI measurements with respect to the (inertial) quasars, so the
determination of the earth's orientation is anchored to inertial
space (the ICRF - International Celestial Reference Frame), and
precession is measured directly. Over a couple of decades, now,
precession is known to a couple of hundredths of an arcsecond per
century. [...] There is no real relevance of the sidereal YEAR to
modern astronomy. [...] The quoted value, as shown above, comes
from Newcomb's Theory, is referred to inertial space; it is evident
that he applied precession to the tropical year in order to derive
it. Therefore, it refers to motion in inertial space. [...] When
a more modern value for precession was adopted in 1976, this ratio
changed slightly. However, the basic method is unaltered. In practice,
since the rotation of the earth is not completely predictable, the
rotation of the earth gets measured on a daily basis, and the results
of the measurements get applied in order to get the most accurate
earth orientation possible."
The data
on the mean transit period of Sirius (an inertial frame of reference)
shows that over larger time frames the measurement does not reflect
precession. According to Dr. Standish, the measurements were sufficiently
accurate, but not the interpretation:
As any expert of scientific reasoning will undoubtedly
agree, the data
should speak for itself.
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